Kind of unfair question but a good one.
Many no doubt probably remember like 18 years ago the first
LED cyc light (before the S-4
PAR came out if I remember correctly) - about like output of a 300w six
cell version with bad color
rendering. I remember the McCartney tour where basically every
Mac 101 was bought out which could be found in converting to
LED.l And now we have the
LED which went
Leko and even in seeing today some about +100
LED Studio Fresnels in service which seem to make the 2Kw
Fresnel obsolete. Amongst
LED Leko's now.
How does one predict the
incandescent an even
metal halide lamps given advancements in
LED? Gives me pandimonium with no doubt
Mark. Certainily gives me problems in figuring out what lamps to
stock by the hundreds one year, next... sitting on
stock of them.
Mark @ Osram has a difficult place to be at, even continue the
line of radial
Leko lamps given it is one less installer like me no longer needing the radial lamps - except if I'm re-doing them for another site. Often such fixtures go into recycycling as with often other old fixtures even if such replacements are really bad substitutions.
HPL lamps... believe first time buy this year for a specific show needing a lot of them, other than that
flat line in buys.
What next year to predict... hard job to say to Osram bosses but mostly down prediection in market for sustaining production of what it does. A few weeks ago I needed around 600x
HPL 575w/115v high output lamps for a show. Last time I bought such lamps was a few years ago. This doesn't help
Mark's job in figuring out if cost effecive to continue making them. Makes
Mark's job who once did the HPR lamp as a great invention... but not enough sales to continue making them... really hard. I keep every once in a while joking in saying someone invented the liquid filled
halogen lamp - as per a concept of some xenon
projector lamps in a concept...
Now that the
HPL lamp is no longer pattent... to best invent stuff, perhaps
reflector installed
HPL if can figure out how to do it, and or indeed liquid filled internal
reflector HPL invention might become efficient as a concept. But up against a
LED light.. gen.. what is is 3 or 4 now?
And next in market... the amount of S-4
Leko's down scale marketing to say store front thaters at this
point. Believe Elation our primary
Leko source at this
point. None the less, the S-4
Leko is becoming obsolete and will be filtering down to the store front theater scene. That's a problem for radial
Leko lamp production future.
Overall, the
LED market is surpassing lighting design I think, and getting from what I see modern lighting, but even if superior fixtures.. less in a lighting design concept unless added to the inventory or specific replacement.
Overall what I see, is a new period in lighting, one is less served by lights provided as common for history, but hopefully a new generation requiring more in establishing a new design with
LED's
next generation of lighting concepts. Got enough cable to install 6x
LED color changing fixtures 48" on center from the first
house electric. This will be an improvement in what is there? Next Gen as past generations coming for what is next hopefully. Feel we are at a low
point in install/design and
fixture use for
stage currently, and look forward to next gen.