Yes, that's the same principal as my "custom lightning profile." Smaller wattage is better, but as you said, you also need intensity. I think you'll find the lamp turning off is more of a problem than the lamp turning on, so I would preheat, but wouldn't let the lamp idle at 25%. Be sure to "pre-delay" your lighting cues to the soundtrack, because if lightning and thunder happen at the same time, it's pretty darn close to you, like you're being struck, and not in the theatrical sense.
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